This Washington

Why I Think Rossi Will Win

By Josh Feit November 2, 2010

Shortly after I posted my election predictions yesterday, I got a text from a good old friend (let's call him A. Birch Steen), who wrote:
Surprised you picked Rossi. Massive turnout in King County not going to matter?

Today's Morning Fizz
takes a look at King County turnout, but here's what I wrote back, and it's why I think Rossi wins it:
I just don't see how Murray survives w unemployment rate so high. Are voters really going to vote for the incumbent when it's 1 degree of separation from unemployment or out of work themselves? Can't see it going her way.

I'm not going to publish A.B.'s full response (he had some excessively nasty things to say about Rossi), but here's the important part:
Don't disagree, but I'm hopeful (perhaps foolishly) that libs get off their ass...

By the way, while it's not as bad as it is in the rest of the state (13.1 percent in Clark, County—look for Rossi to win handily there) and 8.8 percent statewide this summer, unemployment is high in King County too. It was at 8 percent in August.



On the campaign trail, Rossi talks about the "functional unemployment rate," a higher rate—17.4 statewide—which also includes the underemployed and those who've  quit looking for work.
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