It's Election day.

There hasn’t been any polling (that I know of), it’s an unprecedented districted system, and with relatively so few votes in the mix (only 9,000 people have turned in their votes so far in District Four, for example), a sneeze could change the outcome.

In other words, no one really knows what’s going to happen.

(There’s been a 16.5 percent turnout citywide so far with varying turnouts in each of the seven districts hovering around that count. Overall, the pace of turnout is about 5,500 behind the 2013 returns, the year of the last city council election.)

Here’s the conventional wisdom (not mine) about tonight’s election, where the top two vote getters go through to November’s general election.

District 1 (West Seattle): Joe McDermott aide Shannon Braddock and Nick Licata aide Lisa Herbold make it through, with Braddock in the lead.

District 2 (Southeast Seattle): Incumbent Bruce Harrell wins big.

District 3 (Khsama Sawant’s Capitol Hill, Central District, and Madison Valley District): socialist incumbent Sawant and Urban League leader Pamela Banks make it through.

Question: Will the seemingly unbeatable Sawant clear 50 percent and turn the next three months into a snooze? (The 20 percent turnout in her district so far is notably higher than the turnout in other districts, indicating that her grassroots GOTV effort and her popularity may be too much for any candidate to match.)

District 4 (Eastlake through the U. District, Roosevelt, Wedgwood, and Sand Point, stopping at 85^th): Incumbent Jean Godden and Transportation Choices Coalition head Rob Johnson come out on top.

Question: Will neighborhood council leader and candidate Tony Provine’s over-the-top appeal to reject the HALA committee recommendations work, demonstrating a resurgence of the slow growthers?

Here’s the email Provine sent out this week:

Dear Neighbor,

Everyone has taken notice of my campaign, from the Seattle Times editorial page, to Seattle columnist Danny Westneat, to Mayor Ed Murray.

Those who support the policies promoted by my opponents have dumped more than $90,000 into the race. Why? Because they know that when I am elected, I will change the way we make policy in this town.

As you know, the mayor created a housing and affordability committee—HALA—overwhelmingly comprised of those who work with developers. The committee met in secret for ten months.

Their “solution” was to eliminate 100% of single-family zoning. Without addressing the lack of transit access, the HALA plan was to force density into neighborhoods ill-equipped to take it.

This is no way to create public policy.

I ran for Seattle City Council to change the way the City works with its citizens, with its small businesses, and with those who come to Seattle for school, work, or play.

We cannot have committees that don’t include the public.

We cannot make policy in secret.

Now those who support changing the zoning, are pointing their fingers at homeowners, calling them racist, selfish, and worse.  This is as ridiculous as it is wrong.

78% of Seattle homeowners live in a single family house. Do these policy makers want to declare war on single family homeowners?

This is no way to treat taxpayers.

Questions: The committee met in secret? The committee of 28 publicly announced advocates from across the political spectrum—plenty, if not a majority of them, single-family homeowners—hammered out a recommended compromise between affordable housing advocates, developers, and social justice groups and presented it to council where a full public process was cued up. (This is exactly how the heralded $15 wage policy was crafted and  the $16 billion state transportation package. Oh, and it's also the way a plan, that Provine was party to himself, for building a park rather than affordable housing in Roosevelt, came together—and was then announced to the public.)

Eliminate 100 percent of single-family zoning? The recommendation was to upzone six percent of single family zones around transit corridors and allow code changes in the rest of the single family zones that would permit some multi-family housing in the mix—without changing the size guidelines. A hefty 65 percent of the city is exclusively zoned for single family housing right now.

Without addressing the lack of transit? Voters just approved $45 million in Metro transit adds and there's a $930 million transportation levy on this November's ballot.

This is no way to treat taxpayers? Yeah! And down with those customized Coke cans! And why can't I find the Beatles on Spotify? And this year's True Detective sucks compared to last season!

District 5 (North Seattle): Progressive causes Reverend Sandy Brown and former King County Superior Court judge (and half Native American) Debora Juarez go through.

Question: Will the big independent expenditure ($64,841) from the national realtors association turn relative unknown candidate Kris Lethin into a spoiler—and signal a reality check on the “grassroots” districted system?

District Six (Ballard, Fremont): Incumbent Mike O’Brien wins big

District Seven (Downtown, Queen Anne, Magnolia): Incumbent Sally Bagshaw wins even bigger.

Questions: Will anyone notice that an urbanist, an incumbent, and someone who voted against taxing developers won big?

Position Eight (At-large): Incumbent Tim Burgess wins, but not convincingly. The pundit know-it-alls are split on whether well-funded brainy oddball John Roderick or Stranger-backed lefty Jon Grant will go through. Both candidates finished strong.

Question: Will anyone notice that the only incumbent who appears to be in an actual race for his or her job is in an at-large spot and not a “grassroots” districted seat? (I guess Godden may be in trouble too, but her main challenger so far—fundraising wise—is Johnson, much more of a citywide environmentalist than a backlash provincialist.)

Position Nine (At-large): Civil rights attorney Lorena Gonzalez and pod apartment watchdog Bill Bradburd make it through.