Tonight's Election Results, or One Question for the Republicans
First, the races you're dying to know about; then, everything else.
The short version: President Obama, probably Governor Jay Inslee (if his big numbers in King County hold), legal pot, the two-thirds rule for taxes upheld, seawall approved, Attorney General Bob Ferguson, charter schools leading, but only narrowly, the state senate retained by Democrats, gay marriage leading, and, finally, Democratic congressional candidate Suzan DelBene defeating Tea Party Republican John "The Rape Thing" Koster—the fourth extremist anti-choice Republican to go down nationwide.
The PubliCola "One Question" tonight goes to the Republicans: Can McKenna overcome Inslee's 63 to 37 advantage in King County? Conventional wisdom says a Republican candidate needs to be around 40 percent in King County to have a chance. Statewide, with McKenna winning all of Eastern Washington and several counties in the west, including Pierce, Inslee still had a 51.4 to 48.6 percent lead.The PubliCola "One Question" tonight goes to the Republicans: Can McKenna overcome Inslee's 63 to 37 advantage in King County?
The Democrats are happy to answer the question. Inslee's spokeswoman Jaime Smith says, "We're not ready to call it, but we like where we are," adding that Inslee was "outperfoming expectations."
And Democratic consultant Christian Sinderman said: "The gist of it is, unless there's a significant deterioration in the King County vote, it's going to be hard for McKenna to have a chance."
However, Washington State Republican Party Executive Director Peter Graves was confident of a McKenna victory. He broke it down like this:
The Democrats had better early turnout in King County and McKenna's numbers would pick up there as more votes come in. (Inslee's spokeswoman Smith actually alluded to the same possibility, acknowledging that the early votes are more partisan, which, in King County, does translate into Democratic votes as opposed to the independent votes that McKenna was winning in the polls.)
More important, Graves pointed to Pierce County, where McKenna is winning 51.86 to 48.14. "If we turn it around in Kitsap and Snohomish, "we win absolutely," he said. While McKenna was behind in both Kitsap and Snohomish, Graves said the trend was going their way.
Finally, he said McKenna had higher numbers and turnout in Eastern Washington than even Republicans usually do—making the King County gap less relevant.
Sinderman, however, disputed that last point. He said McKenna had to outperfom expectations in Eastern Washington and Democratic data showed that wasn't happening.
Guess we'll resolve these two conflicting claims tomorrow.
Here's where things stood on Tuesday night.
President:
Barack Obama wins.
Governor
Jay Inslee beats Rob McKenna 51.68 to 48.23.
State Initiatives
Initiative Measure No. 1185
Concerns tax and fee increases imposed by state government
Approve 64.06 percent
Reject 35.94 percent
Initiative Measure No. 1240
Concerns creation of a public charter school system
Approve 50.83 percent
Reject 49.17 percent
Referendum Measure No. 74
Concerns marriage for same-sex couples
Approve 52.39 percent
Reject 47.61 percent
Initiative Measure No. 502
Concerns marijuana legalization
Approve 55.96 percent
Reject 44.04 percent
Engrossed Senate Joint Resolution No. 8221
Concerns implementing the Commission on State Debt recommendations regarding Washington's debt limit
Approve 62.65 percent
Reject 37.35 percent
Senate Joint Resolution No. 8223
Concerns investments by the University of Washington and Washington State University
Approve 44.15 percent
Reject 55.85 percent
Attorney General
Bob Ferguson (D) 53.18 percent
Reagan Dunn (R) 46.82 percent
U.S. Representative Congressional District
John Koster (R) 45.28 percent
Suzan DelBene (D) 54.72 percent
And here are the results in the six state senate races that could have shifted the balance of power to the Republicans. The Democrats went into the election with a 27-22 advantage.
The Republicans, however, only seem to have one pickup here—holding a lead in the 10th Legislative District where Democratic state Sen. Mary Margaret Haugen finished the night behind.
Here are the numbers in the six races.
Legislative District 1
State Senator
Rosemary McAuliffe (D) 57.34 percent
Dawn McCravey (R) 42.66 percent
Legislative District 2
State Senator
Randi Becker (R) 59.89 percent
Bruce L. Lachney (D) 40.11 percent
Legislative District 5
State Senator (View All)
Mark Mullet (D) 53.84 percent
Brad Toft (R) 46.16 percent
Legislative District 10
State Senator
Barbara Bailey (R) 51.9 percent
Mary Margaret Haugen (D) 48.1 percent
Legislative District 17
State Senator
Don Benton (R) 49.72 percent
Tim Probst (D) 50.28 percent
Legislative District 41
State Senator
Steve Litzow (R) 53.52 percent
Maureen Judge (D) 46.48 percent
And in other races:
Supreme Court
Justice Position 9
Sheryl Gordon McCloud 55.7 percent
Richard B. Sanders 44.3 percent
Seattle Proposition 1: Seawall Levy
Approve 76.95 percent (requires 60 percent to pass)
Reject 23.04 percent
King County Sheriff
Steve Strachan 42.23 percent
John Urquhart 57.35 percent
US Senator
Maria Cantwell (D) 59.7 percent
Michael Baumgartner (R) 40.3 percen
Congressional District 2U.S. Representative
Rick Larsen (D) 62.12 percent
Dan Matthews (R) 37.88 percent
Congressional District 3
U.S. Representative
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) 59.14 percent
Jon T. Haugen (D) 40.86 percent
Congressional District 6
US Representative
Derek Kilmer (D) 58.98 percent
Bill Driscoll (R) 41.02 percent
Congressional District 7
U.S. Representative
Jim McDermott (D) 81.2 percent
Ron Bemis (R) 18.8 percent
Congressional District 8
U.S. Representative
Dave Reichert (R) 59.29 percent
Karen Porterfield (D) 40.71 percent
Congressional District 9
U.S. Representative
Adam Smith (D) 71.44 percent
Jim Postma (R) 28.56 percent
Lt. GovernorBrad Owen (D) 53.45 percent
Bill Finkbeiner (R) 46.55 percent
Secretary of State
Kim Wyman (R) 49.59 percent
Kathleen Drew (D) 50.41 percent
State Treasurer
Jim McIntire (D) 58.32 percent
Sharon Hanek (R) 41.68 percent
State Auditor
James Watkins (R) 47.21 percent
Troy Kelley (D) 52.79 percent
Commissioner of Public LandsPeter J. Goldmark (D) 58.19 percent
Clint Didier (R) 41.81 percent
Insurance Commissioner
Mike Kreidler (D) 57.9 percent
John R. Adams (R) 42.1 percent
Supreme Court
Justice Position 9
Sheryl Gordon McCloud 55.7 percent
Richard B. Sanders 44.3 percent
Legislative District 11
Legislative District 25
State Senator
Bruce Dammeier (R) 61.16 percent
Eric Herde (D) 38.84 percent
Legislative District 36
State Representative Pos. 2
Gael Tarleton (D) 57.24 percent
Noel Christina Frame (D) 42.76 percent
Legislative District 46State Representative Pos. 1
Gerry Pollet (D) 67.09 percent
Sylvester Cann (D) 32.91 percent
State Representative Pos. 2
Jessyn Farrell (D) 63.95 percent
Sarajane Siegfriedt (D) 36.05 percent
Seattle Proposition 1: Seawall LevyApprove 76.95 percent (requires 60 percent to pass)
Reject 23.04
King County Proposition 1 (Fingerprint Levy)
Approve 59.29 percent
Reject 40.7 percent