I've given you the Sen. Murray spin on how her campaign is on track to win the election. Essentially, they say that King County has about a third of the 1 million projected ballots still to be counted. (King projects they've got around 340,000 left.)  And since Murray has a big lead with King County voters—62-38—her lead will stand.

Here's the Rossi spin. (I called them last night to get their take on the current results, but didn't hear from them until they sent me their number crunch, written by Rossi campaign manager Pat Shortridge, today.) First, they say King County's portion of the remaining votes is a bit lower than a third—they put it closer to a quarter. That doesn't seem right, though. King County projects 68 percent turnout. They've already counted 374,000 votes, which means they should get another 346,000 over the next few days. That's 34 percent of the 1 million outstanding ballots statewide that the Secretary of State's office tells us is left.

Second, Rossi's camp says pro-Rossi territory, Spokane County, has almost as many votes left to count as King, putting it at 21 percent of the remaining votes.

I'm not sure this jibes, either. Spokane predicts they have about 90,000 ballots outstanding. That's nine percent of the projected one million outstanding votes statewide—not the 21 percent Shortridge says.

Finally, Shortridge's memo says that the legislative victories the GOP is seeing at the state level will move the numbers in the Rossi's direction. That's also a shaky theory. For example, several Republican candidates are winning handily in King County, but Murray is winning King County handily herself based on the very same ballots.

I have a message into Rossi's camp.

In the meantime, here's the memo that Shortridge sent out in full last night:

This evening’s returns indicate this election is as close as many predicted, in that it is too close to call.  A few points to remember as you examine returns:

• Historically in Washington, the Republican candidates improve their percentages in each county in votes counted after Election Day, usually improving their margins by 2 to 3 percentage points.

• King County, which is providing most of Sen. Murray’s margin, accounts for 30.7% of all registered voters in the state.  According to County Election reports, King County only has 26.7% of the remaining ballots left to count.  The rest of the state, where Rossi has a comfortable lead, will count proportionately more ballots post-Election Day.

• Spokane County, where Rossi is currently in the lead by more than 50%, still has at least 21.6% of the remaining ballots left to process, with more coming in.

• Rossi is currently leading in Pierce County by nearly 2,500 votes

• According to the Secretary of State, there are still over 508,000 estimated ballots left to process statewide.

Again, we will know more over the next several days as ballots continue to come in and counties continue to count.  We are confident that the margins we are seeing throughout Washington State, combined with the state legislative victories, will put Dino Rossi ahead by an overwhelming margin.