Opinion
My 2010 Election Predictions (Not Endorsements)
From the only person on record predicting that Greg Nickels would lose last year's primary and Mike McGinn would win the whole thing in November, I say:
Initiatives:
1053, Two-thirds majority on tax increases, Pass
1082, Allow private insurers into workers' comp market, Fail
1098, High-earners' income tax, Fail
1100, Liquor privatization, Costco version, Pass
1105, Liquor privatization, some regs in place, no tax in place version, Fail
1107, repeal soda, candy, and bottled water tax, Pass
R-52, Green retrofits for schools, Fail
Key State Legislature Races (AKA, the Eastside Seattle suburbs). And the winners are:
41st District
Senate, Steve Litzow (R)
Rep., Peter Dunbar (R)
Rep., Judy Clibborn (D) (Incumbent)
45th District
Senate, Andy Hill (R)
Rep., Roger Goodman (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Larry Springer (D) (Incumbent)
47th District
Senate, Joe Fain (R)
Rep., Mark Hargrove (R)
Rep., Pat Sullivan (D) (Incumbent)
48th District
Senate, Rodney Tom (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Ross Hunter (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Deb Eddy (D) (Incumbent)
Federal races. And the winners are:
U.S. Congressional District 1
Jay Inslee (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 2
John Koster (R)
U.S. Congressional District 3
Jaime Herrera (R)
U.S. Congressional District 4
Doc Hastings (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 5
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 6
Norm Dicks (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 7
Jim McDermott (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 8
Dave Reichert (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 9
Adam Smith (D) Incumbent
U.S. Senate
Dino Rossi (R)
And FWIW: Jerry Brown, Joe Miller, Sharron Angle, Barbara Boxer.
Initiatives:
1053, Two-thirds majority on tax increases, Pass
1082, Allow private insurers into workers' comp market, Fail
1098, High-earners' income tax, Fail
1100, Liquor privatization, Costco version, Pass
1105, Liquor privatization, some regs in place, no tax in place version, Fail
1107, repeal soda, candy, and bottled water tax, Pass
R-52, Green retrofits for schools, Fail
Key State Legislature Races (AKA, the Eastside Seattle suburbs). And the winners are:
41st District
Senate, Steve Litzow (R)
Rep., Peter Dunbar (R)
Rep., Judy Clibborn (D) (Incumbent)
45th District
Senate, Andy Hill (R)
Rep., Roger Goodman (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Larry Springer (D) (Incumbent)
47th District
Senate, Joe Fain (R)
Rep., Mark Hargrove (R)
Rep., Pat Sullivan (D) (Incumbent)
48th District
Senate, Rodney Tom (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Ross Hunter (D) (Incumbent)
Rep., Deb Eddy (D) (Incumbent)
Federal races. And the winners are:
U.S. Congressional District 1
Jay Inslee (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 2
John Koster (R)
U.S. Congressional District 3
Jaime Herrera (R)
U.S. Congressional District 4
Doc Hastings (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 5
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 6
Norm Dicks (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 7
Jim McDermott (D) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 8
Dave Reichert (R) (Incumbent)
U.S. Congressional District 9
Adam Smith (D) Incumbent
U.S. Senate
Dino Rossi (R)
And FWIW: Jerry Brown, Joe Miller, Sharron Angle, Barbara Boxer.