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My 2010 Election Predictions
In anticipation of tomorrow's potentially historic elections, here are my predictions in some key local, state, and national races (Josh's predictions will come later today or tomorrow). Got opinions of your own? Put 'em in the comments. Races are listed from federal through local.
US Sen., Alaska
Joe Miller (R) beats incumbent Lisa Murkowski (R) and Scott McAdams (D)
US Sen., Connecticut
Richard Blumenthal (D) beats Linda McMahon (R)
US Sen., Delaware
Chris Coons (D) beats Christine O'Donnell (R)
US Sen., Nevada
Sharon Angle (R) beats incumbent Harry Reid (D)
US Sen., Washington
Incumbent Patty Murray (D) beats Dino Rossi (R)
US Sen., West Virginia
Joe Manchin (D) beats John Raese (R)
US Sen., Wisconsin
Ron Johnson (R) beats incumbent Russ Feingold (D)
US Rep., District 2
John Koster (R) beats incumbent Rick Larsen (D)
US Rep., District 3
Jaime Herrera (R) beats Denny Heck (D)
US Rep., District 8
Incumbent Dave Reichert (R) beats Suzan DelBene (D)
Initiative 1053 (two-thirds vote of legislature to raise taxes)
Pass
Initiative 1082 (privatizing workers' compensation)
Fail
Initiative 1098 (high-earners' income tax)
Fail
Initiative 1100 (liquor privatization; eliminates barriers between manufacturers and distributors)
Pass
Initiative 1105 (liquor privatization; eliminates liquor tax)
Fail
Initiative 1107 (eliminating sales tax on candy, soda, and bottled water)
Pass
Referendum 52 (preserving bottled-water tax for school energy retrofits)
State supreme court Justice Position 6
Incumbent Richard Sanders beats Charlie Wiggins
Pass
King County Prop. 1 (increasing sales tax to pay for criminal justice)
Fail
State senate, District 34
Joe Fitzgibbon (D) beats Mike Heavey (D)
State senate, District 41
Steve Litzow (R) beats incumbent Randy Gordon (D)
State senate, District 45
Andy Hill (R) beats incumbent Eric Oemig (D)
State senate, District 48
Incumbent Ross Hunter (D) beats Diane Tebelius (R)
State house, District 48
Gregg Bennett (R) beats incumbent Rodney Tom (D)
Seattle Municipal Court judge, Position 1
Ed McKenna beats incumbent Edsonya Charles
US Sen., Alaska
Joe Miller (R) beats incumbent Lisa Murkowski (R) and Scott McAdams (D)
US Sen., Connecticut
Richard Blumenthal (D) beats Linda McMahon (R)
US Sen., Delaware
Chris Coons (D) beats Christine O'Donnell (R)
US Sen., Nevada
Sharon Angle (R) beats incumbent Harry Reid (D)
US Sen., Washington
Incumbent Patty Murray (D) beats Dino Rossi (R)
US Sen., West Virginia
Joe Manchin (D) beats John Raese (R)
US Sen., Wisconsin
Ron Johnson (R) beats incumbent Russ Feingold (D)
US Rep., District 2
John Koster (R) beats incumbent Rick Larsen (D)
US Rep., District 3
Jaime Herrera (R) beats Denny Heck (D)
US Rep., District 8
Incumbent Dave Reichert (R) beats Suzan DelBene (D)
Initiative 1053 (two-thirds vote of legislature to raise taxes)
Pass
Initiative 1082 (privatizing workers' compensation)
Fail
Initiative 1098 (high-earners' income tax)
Fail
Initiative 1100 (liquor privatization; eliminates barriers between manufacturers and distributors)
Pass
Initiative 1105 (liquor privatization; eliminates liquor tax)
Fail
Initiative 1107 (eliminating sales tax on candy, soda, and bottled water)
Pass
Referendum 52 (preserving bottled-water tax for school energy retrofits)
State supreme court Justice Position 6
Incumbent Richard Sanders beats Charlie Wiggins
Pass
King County Prop. 1 (increasing sales tax to pay for criminal justice)
Fail
State senate, District 34
Joe Fitzgibbon (D) beats Mike Heavey (D)
State senate, District 41
Steve Litzow (R) beats incumbent Randy Gordon (D)
State senate, District 45
Andy Hill (R) beats incumbent Eric Oemig (D)
State senate, District 48
Incumbent Ross Hunter (D) beats Diane Tebelius (R)
State house, District 48
Gregg Bennett (R) beats incumbent Rodney Tom (D)
Seattle Municipal Court judge, Position 1
Ed McKenna beats incumbent Edsonya Charles
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