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Breaking: Math Fights Crime, Turns Out to Be Useful After All

By Jonah Spangenthal-Lee February 24, 2010

It appears math has practical applications in the real world after all (you were right, Mr. Vance!). Wired magazine has an interesting article up right now about how math can be used to fight crime:



Not all crime hot spots are created equal, a new mathematical model suggests. For some areas repeatedly hit hard with crime, police intervention can shut down lawlessness and keep it down. But for others, police involvement just shifts the trouble around.


Working with anthropologists, criminologists and the Los Angeles Police Department, [Andrea] Bertozzi built a mathematical representation of how areas with frequent, repeated crimes form within a city and change over time.


The team modeled a city as a two-dimensional grid populated with burglars and houses to rob. The researchers used previous studies to add a mathematical description of how attractive a region is to a burglar. Data has shown, for example, that the house next door to a house with a broken window is more likely to be robbed.


Bertozzi and colleagues ran simulations that led to the formation of crime hot spots and then simulated police intervention. Two sharply distinct outcomes emerged. Certain kinds of hot spots just moved around in response to police efforts to quash them. “It’s impossible,” Bertozzi said. “You hit one and it pops up somewhere else.”


But for others, suppressing the hot spot once erased it forever.



You can find the rest of the article here.


H/T PNWlocalnews



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