These numbers represent the majority of the votes that are going to come in today (a second drop is expected later tonight):

Mike McGinn: 75,657 49.99 percent

Joe Mallahan: 74,448 49.19 percent

That's a margin of 1,209—significantly wider than yesterday's 515-vote gap, and a gain of 694 votes.

The latest count is skewing hard toward McGinn, indicating a possible late surge: 51.36 to 47.96.

Turnout, based on the number of ballots King County Elections has received and "processed," is now around 50 percent, with around 30,000 votes processed but not counted. At most, if elections reaches their initial projection of 56 to 57 percent turnout, they have 50,000 votes left to count. If that's true, Mallahan needs 51.2 percent of the remaining ballots to win this election; if it's more like 30,000 outstanding, he needs around 52 percent. Either way, things look bad for Mallahan.

I've got calls out to McGinn and the Mallahan camp to see what they make of the latest numbers.