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New Poll: Nickels Losing Ground

By Erica C. Barnett August 6, 2009

A new KING-5/Survey USA poll shows Mayor Greg Nickels losing ground to his competitors, with T-Mobile executive Joe Mallahan and former Sierra Club leader Mike McGinn pulling ahead of the other candidates and closing in on Nickels.

In the latest poll, Nickels has the support of 22 percent of likely voters, down four points from a similar poll released three weeks ago . Mallahan, in contrast, has pulled ahead to 19 percent, from 11 percent three weeks ago. And McGinn is up seven points from the last poll, with 15 percent.

Mallahan's spokeswoman, Charla Newman, attributes Mallahan's boost to "people looking at alternatives to Nickels and weighing their options and finding that they trust Joe more than the other candidates." A recent TV ad and mailing blitz can't have hurt either. On the other hand, Nickels has saturated the cable airwaves with his ads, and they don't seem to be making much of a difference.

City Council member Jan Drago, meanwhile, has fallen back to seven percent from 11 percent three weeks ago, former Sonic James Donaldson remains static at 11 percent, and Kwame Wyking Garrett, Elizabeth Campbell, and Norman Sigler all have six percent.

The SurveyUSA poll is a "robo-poll," which is generally less reliable than a live poll. And SurveyUSA polls tend to oversample the number of young voters, who are less likely to vote in primaries. So: Grain of salt.
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