[caption id="attachment_8940" align="alignnone" width="550" caption="Three Nickels volunteers monitor the vote in the 34th."]Three Nickels volunteers monitor the vote in the 34th.[/caption]

If you look at the endorsements of the various Seattle district Democratic organizations so far, they stack up like this:
34th District: Dual endorsement for Greg Nickels and Mike McGinn

37th District: Dual endorsement for Joe Mallahan and Mike McGinn

43rd District: No endorsement in the mayor's race

46th District: No endorsement in the mayor's race

Metropolitan Democratic Club: Dual endorsement for Joe Mallahan and Mike McGinn

Tallying those endorsements, that's one endorsement for Nickels, two for Mallahan, three for McGinn (and none for Jan Drago).

Looking at the initial votes between all the nominated candidates—that is, the votes that most closely simulate a primary election, because they include most of the candidates—however, things may not be as bad for Nickels as they appear. Although vote counts aren't available for the initial rounds in every district, numbers were available in the 37th, 43rd, 46th, and the MDC, plus partial numbers (from Josh's notebook) for the 34th.

PubliCola's team of number-crunching monkeys took out their calculators and found that Nickels is behind Mallahan (who got 30 percent of initial votes) and McGinn (who got 27 percent), but not by much—in first votes he received, on average, 23 percent. That average is likely to go up significantly once the totals from last night's crowded 34th District endorsement meeting are included—Nickels got 52 percent of the first vote there, to McGinn's 19 percent. The bottom line: Nickels isn't out yet—and Drago, who's received, on average, just 10 percent of first-round votes, is inexplicably nowheresville.
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