Politico Reports Murray Up

By Josh Feit September 7, 2010

Cola readers (predictably) complained that we linked a Rasmussen Reports poll last week in our Afternoon Jolt column, casting U.S. Sen. Patty Murray as that day's loser because the poll had her down. (Rasmussen has been criticized for having a conservative bias.)

Consider this a make up call. Yesterday, Politco's Morning Score had Murray up, citing a Democratic pollster.
Washington Sen. Patty Murray currently leads Republican challenger Dino Rossi by five points and has just barely reached the 50-percent mark, according to a poll conducted for the DSCC by the Democratic firm Fairbank, Maslin. Murray leads Rossi, 50 percent to 45 percent, and the survey shows her with a fairly solid base of support. Voters say they approve of her job performance by an 11-point margin, 53 percent to 42 percent. Fifty-five percent say they have a favorable impression of Murray, compared with 40 percent who say their impression is unfavorable. Rossi’s numbers are more evenly split, with his favorable rating at 47 percent and his negatives at 46 percent. The poll tested 968 likely voters from Aug. 25-31.

Murray’s race is one of three Senate contests in Democratic-leaning states – along with the late-emerging races in California and Wisconsin – that could determine the balance of power in the chamber. It’s expected to be a tight campaign through November and the new DSCC poll has the contest three points closer than it was in April, when a Fairbank, Maslin poll gave Murray an eight-point lead.

Our take away—regardless of poll bias: This race is going to be very very close.
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