Results from a recent poll shows that voters in the 48th legislative district—the long contested Microsoft suburbs—are leaning to the left, as it has been for the last decade, and that they aren't very fond of state Sen. Rodney Tom, who joined with the Republicans this year, ousting the Democratic majority, to become the leader of the Majority Coalition Caucus.
When 400 respondents were asked to rate their feelings about a batch of politicians including Sen. Tom (who used to represent the district as a Republican until switching parties in 2006) on a scale of one to 100, with 100 indicating very favorable or “warm” feelings, zero indicating very cold or unfavorable feelings, and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold, Senator Tom averaged a 46. Twenty-three percent of respondents indicated warm feelings above 50, and 26 percent indicated cool feelings.
The two Democratic reps from the district, Reps. Ross Hunter and Cyrus Habib, who won their seats in the 2012 election by a large margin, scored in the 60s on the poll.
Gov. Jay Inslee received an average of 52, and the Washington State Legislature as a whole received an average of 47.
The poll, which was commissioned by the liberal group Fuse also found that a plurality of the those polled, 42 percent, identified as moderate with 28 percent identifying as liberal and 26 percent as conservative. When it came to party ID, 35 percent said they were Democrats, 32 percent said they were independent, ad 30 percent said they were Republicans.
In another question, 25 percent of respondents rated Senator Tom’s performance good or excellent and 44 percent rated it poor or fair. By way of comparison, President Barack Obama, the only other politician we saw numbers for, received 52 percent rating his performance good or excellent and 48 percent rating it fair or poor.
President Obama won 63 percent of the vote in the 48th in 2008 and 61 percent in 2012, while Senator Tom won his seat with 52 percent of the vote in 2010. Senator Tom has won all his seats, Republican or Democrat, with just over 50 percent of the vote.
Speaking of elections: Here's the worst news for Tom. Even though Democrats had the advantage—forty-four percent of respondents were leaning Democratic in the 2014 election while 38 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate—only 22 percent of respondents said Tom deserves reelection.
The poll was performed by Myers Research and Strategic Services, a research firm in Springfield, Va.